They couldn’t, could they? Rob Edwards' Wolves and the unlikeliest of Premier League survival charges from a 0.1% chance
By Ben Morse
Published 04/03/2026 at 15:21 GMT
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Wolverhampton Wanderers have given themselves a glimmer of hope of avoiding relegation from the Premier League thanks to back-to-back wins over Aston Villa and Liverpool. The gap to safety is still 12 points, with Nottingham Forest in 17th having two games in hand, but could Wolves pull off a miracle and remain in the top flight? Wolves have eight games left to play this season.
Highlights: Wolves stun champions Liverpool in dramatic finale at Molineux
Video credit: TNT Sports
They couldn’t, could they?
Two weeks ago, that question meant something completely different for Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Two weeks ago, that question was about whether they could fall to new depths and fail to beat Derby County’s record-low points total of 11 in a Premier League season.
But now, following back-to-back victories, that question is about whether they can pull off the most unlikely of survival charges and avoid what looked like certain relegation.
Tuesday’s dramatic victory over Liverpool means they have 16 points, 12 points off Nottingham Forest in 17th, although Forest have two games in hand. Forest take on Manchester City on Wednesday, with the game available to watch and live stream on TNT Sports and discovery+.
With eight games remaining for Wolves, the question needs to be posed once again: they couldn’t, could they?
"There’s just a stark difference now between when we came in to now with the level of fight and work that the lads are showing," manager Rob Edwards - who replaced Vitor Pereira in November - told Wolves’ official website after the victory over Liverpool.
"We’ve obviously got a really small squad at the moment, but everyone’s together, everyone’s in it together. Everyone feels like they’re not too far away.
"We’ve got a tight group that are fighting for each other, working hard, and showing that we’re not maybe as bad as people would have thought."
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'We need to believe' - Gomes hails 'unbelievable' win over Liverpool
Video credit: TNT Sports
Against the odds
Before Friday, February 27, Wolves had won just once in the Premier League. Since then, they have claimed momentous victories against Aston Villa and Liverpool, both of whom are challenging for UEFA Champions League qualification spots.
Yes, Wolves still sit 20th in the table, but those two results appear to have galvanised the club.
That is evidenced in Edwards’ celebrations in Wolves’ last two games, running down the touchline and unable to contain his delight.
And it is no surprise, as after a historically bad start to the season, Edwards has helped restore some respectability to Wolves’ season.
He has helped turn the narrative from ‘are Wolves the worst Premier League team ever?’ to ‘can Wolves stay up?’
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Watch as Edwards goes 'full Mourinho' with celebratory touchline sprint
Video credit: TNT Sports
If we’re going to look at their chances of avoiding the drop, the statistics might be able to shine a light on how they could fare in the remainder of the season.
Before the start of the season, Opta gave Wolves a 73.7% chance of survival. After winning none of their first 18 games to start the season, that had decreased to 0.2% before they played Manchester United on December 30.
A spirited draw against United sparked a decent run for Wolves – winning their first league game against West Ham in the following fixture – but three consecutive defeats soon snuffed any positivity out.
By the time Wolves faced Arsenal on February 18, their chances of staying up had decreased to less than 0.1%.
But yet again, Wolves rallied, coming from two goals down to draw with league leaders Arsenal before claiming consecutive wins against Villa and Liverpool.
That recent revival has increased their chances of survival to 0.33%, so they will still need something of a miracle.
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'We'll have made them angry' - Edwards expecting difficult Liverpool rematch
Video credit: TNT Sports
History is not in Wolves’ favour, with the most points from safety any team to survive has been (at any point in the season) coming in 2006/07, when West Ham United avoided the drop despite being 10 points from safety after 29 games, according to Opta.
Wolves’ eight remaining fixtures include some crucial clashes with their fellow relegation candidates; in April, they face West Ham, Leeds United, and Tottenham Hotspur, before ending the season away at Burnley.
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But if one thing is for certain, Wolves will certainly not give up.
"[Victories over Villa and Liverpool were] very important for us and for our confidence," Wolves defender Ladislav Krejci told the team’s official website.
"We’ve shown ourselves that we can beat the top teams in the table, so it’s very good for us for the upcoming games, because there’s still belief there. You never know what can happen, so we will continue."
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